Scenario Simulator
Model and analyze what-if scenarios to optimize decisions
Scenario Templates
Energy Price Spikehigh
Simulate 30% increase in energy costs
Demand Surge - Q3medium
20% demand increase in steel products
Supply Chain Disruptionhigh
Iron ore supply disruption for 2 weeks
New Competitor Entrymedium
Competitor enters market with 10% lower prices
Equipment Failure - BF-1critical
Major blast furnace offline for maintenance
Parameters
Energy Cost Change+30%
Demand Change0%
Capacity Utilization88%
Raw Material Availability100%
Revenue Impact
-$7.2M
Margin Impact
-3.7%
Production Impact
-5.7%
Cost Increase
+$4.5M
AI Impact Analysis
The 30% energy price increase will primarily impact steel production margins, with blast furnace operations being most affected. Recommended mitigation: shift 40% of energy-intensive operations to off-peak hours and activate secondary power purchase agreements. Expected recovery: 60% of margin impact can be mitigated within 2 weeks.
Production Projection: Baseline vs Simulated
Baseline vs Simulated
Revenue
$285.4M$278.2M
Margin
18.5%14.8%
Production
94.2%88.5%
Costs
$232.5M$237M
Recommended Mitigations
Shift to off-peak production hoursAI Pick
+$1.2M savings•Effort: low
Activate backup suppliersAI Pick
Reduce disruption by 40%•Effort: medium
Optimize product mix for marginAI Pick
+2.3% margin improvement•Effort: low
Accelerate maintenance on BF-2
Prevent secondary failure•Effort: high
Renegotiate energy contracts
+$0.8M savings•Effort: high